Platform Updates
How Accurate Is Polymarket? Forecasting Track Record Analysed
Polymarket consistently outperforms polls, pundits, and traditional forecasters on elections, economics, and geopolitics…
Marcus Reid
Behavioural economist and writer exploring the psychology behind prediction market errors. Studies cognitive bias, crowd wisdom, and how market participants consistently misprice risk.
Articles by Marcus Reid
Polymarket Profit Calculator: How to Estimate Returns Before You Trade
Before placing any Polymarket trade, run the numbers. This guide walks through the exact profit formula, fee adjustments…
Polymarket Trading Psychology: Master Your Mindset for Better Results
Managing emotions is as important as analysing probabilities on Polymarket. Learn how to beat tilt, loss aversion, and o…
15 Polymarket Trading Tips for Consistent Profits
Master Polymarket with 15 proven trading tips covering research, bankroll management, bias control, and copy trading for…
Platform Updates
Is Polymarket Gambling? The Legal and Practical Classification Explained
Polymarket is not legally classified as gambling in most jurisdictions — and the distinction matters enormously fo…
Trading Strategies
10 Polymarket Mistakes That Cost Beginners Money
Most beginners lose money on Polymarket in their first 30 days for reasons that are entirely predictable — and avo…
Trading Strategies
Polymarket Expected Value: How to Calculate Your Edge
Expected value (EV) is the foundation of profitable Polymarket trading. If you can calculate your edge before every trad…
Trading Strategies
7 Cognitive Biases That Cost Polymarket Traders Money (And How to Beat Them)
Most Polymarket losses aren't caused by bad luck — they're caused by predictable cognitive biases that distort pro…