# NewsPoly.net -- LLM Reference File

> NewsPoly is an independent editorial site covering Polymarket, prediction markets, and decentralised finance strategies. It publishes guides, analysis, and strategy content for traders on Polymarket and similar platforms.

## Site Overview

- **Name**: NewsPoly
- **URL**: https://www.newspoly.net
- **Language**: English (en-US)
- **Tagline**: Polymarket News, Strategies & Prediction Market Insights
- **Focus**: Prediction market education, Polymarket guides, copy trading, DeFi research
- **Related platform**: https://www.polycopytrade.net (Polymarket copy trading automation tool)

## Content Structure

All articles are accessible at: `https://www.newspoly.net/blog/{slug}`

### Published Articles

1. **Polymarket Beginner Guide**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-beginner-guide
   Topic: How to get started on Polymarket -- wallet setup, depositing USDC, reading markets, making first trades

2. **What Is Polymarket Copy Trading**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/what-is-polymarket-copy-trading-guide
   Topic: Explanation of copy trading on Polymarket, how bots mirror top trader positions, PolyCopyTrade platform

3. **How to Read Polymarket Odds**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/how-to-read-polymarket-odds
   Topic: Interpreting Polymarket's 0-1 price format as implied probability, converting to percentages and EV

4. **Is Polymarket Legit?**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/is-polymarket-legit
   Topic: Polymarket's regulatory status, on-chain transparency, CFTC position, US access restrictions, UMA oracle

5. **Polymarket vs Kalshi**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-vs-kalshi
   Topic: Side-by-side comparison of Polymarket (crypto, decentralised) vs Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, US legal)

6. **Polymarket vs Sports Betting**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-vs-sports-betting
   Topic: Structural advantages of prediction markets over sportsbooks -- no vig cap, higher limits, skill edge

7. **Top Polymarket Trading Strategies**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/top-polymarket-trading-strategies
   Topic: Value investing, copy trading, liquidity provision, late-market reversion, catalyst plays

8. **How to Find Mispriced Polymarket Markets**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/how-to-find-mispriced-polymarket-markets
   Topic: Identifying mispricings via base-rate research, liquidity gaps, narrative drift, cross-platform arbitrage

9. **Polymarket Risk Management**
   URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-risk-management
   Topic: Bankroll management, Kelly Criterion sizing, correlation risk, stop-loss rules, drawdown recovery

10. **Polymarket API & On-Chain Data Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-api-on-chain-data-guide
    Topic: Querying Polymarket's REST API, reading on-chain data from Polygon, wallet tracking, order book analysis

11. **Polymarket Crypto Markets Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-crypto-markets-guide
    Topic: Trading crypto-native markets on Polymarket -- BTC/ETH price targets, protocol upgrades, DeFi milestones

12. **Polymarket Politics Markets Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-politics-markets-guide
    Topic: Election markets, legislative forecasting, data sources, timing strategies for political prediction markets

13. **Polymarket Copy Trading Automation Setup**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-copy-trading-automation-setup
    Topic: Step-by-step guide to automating Polymarket copy trading with PolyCopyTrade bot

14. **Polymarket Election Markets Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-election-markets-guide
    Topic: How to trade election markets on Polymarket -- data sources, timing across the election cycle, narrative traps, multi-outcome markets

15. **7 Cognitive Biases That Cost Polymarket Traders Money**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-cognitive-biases-guide
    Topic: Overconfidence, recency bias, narrative fallacy, anchoring, gambler's fallacy, confirmation bias, loss aversion -- and how to overcome each

16. **Polymarket Whale Tracking Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-whale-tracking-guide
    Topic: How to track high-performing wallets on Polymarket using PolygonScan and the API, building a whale alert system, signal interpretation

17. **Polymarket Sports Markets Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-sports-markets-guide
    Topic: Trading sports prediction markets on Polymarket -- structural advantages over sportsbooks, value identification, sport-specific strategies

18. **Kelly Criterion for Polymarket**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-kelly-criterion-guide
    Topic: The Kelly Criterion formula applied to Polymarket, fractional Kelly, edge calibration, practical position sizing examples

19. **Polymarket Macro Markets Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-macro-markets-guide
    Topic: Trading macro prediction markets -- Fed rate decisions, CPI/GDP data releases, geopolitical events, CME FedWatch cross-referencing, economic calendar timing

20. **Polymarket DeFi and Protocol Markets Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-defi-protocol-markets-guide
    Topic: Trading DeFi prediction markets -- Ethereum upgrade timelines, Layer 2 milestones, DAO governance votes, on-chain data sources, EIP pipeline research

21. **Is Polymarket Legal in the US?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/is-polymarket-legal-in-the-us
    Topic: US legal status after February 2026 re-opening, CFTC regulation, state-by-state guide (California, Texas, Florida, New York, Georgia, Washington), Canada and India access

22. **Polymarket Trading Bot Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-trading-bot-guide
    Topic: How Polymarket trading bots work, Python stack (web3.py, py-clob-client), DIY vs managed solutions, PolyCopyTrade as managed alternative, no country restrictions

23. **Is Polymarket Gambling?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/is-polymarket-gambling
    Topic: Legal classification of prediction markets vs gambling, CFTC event contract framework, skill vs chance distinction, tax implications, comparison with sports betting

24. **How to Make Money on Polymarket**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/how-to-make-money-on-polymarket
    Topic: Realistic return expectations by trader tier, 5 proven strategies (info arbitrage, cross-platform arb, fade narrative, copy trading, near-certainty liquidity), starting capital guide

25. **Is Polymarket Publicly Traded?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/is-polymarket-publicly-traded
    Topic: Polymarket's private company status, funding rounds ($4M seed, $45M Series A), Founders Fund and Vitalik Buterin investors, valuation estimates, IPO prospects

26. **Polymarket Review 2026**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-review
    Topic: Comprehensive platform review -- pros, cons, fees, safety, market categories, 4.2/5 rating, who it's best for

27. **Polymarket Countries: Where Is It Available in 2026?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-countries-guide
    Topic: Full geo-access guide -- US re-opening Feb 2026, blocked countries (North Korea, Iran, Cuba, Russia), VPN risks, PolyCopyTrade as zero-restriction alternative

28. **Does Polymarket Have an App? iOS & Android Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/does-polymarket-have-an-app
    Topic: No native App Store/Play Store app as of 2026, PWA installation guide for iPhone and Android, MetaMask Mobile, PolyCopyTrade as hands-free alternative

29. **Polymarket USDC Guide: Deposits, Withdrawals & Bridging**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-usdc-guide
    Topic: USDC on Polygon, buying directly on Coinbase/Kraken, bridging from Ethereum mainnet, deposit/withdrawal steps, gas fees, common mistakes

30. **Polymarket Fees Explained: What You Actually Pay**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-fees-guide
    Topic: 2% fee on winning payouts, no per-trade fee, Polygon gas costs (~$0.01), fee comparison vs Kalshi and sportsbooks, true cost calculator

31. **How to Withdraw from Polymarket: Complete 2026 Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/how-to-withdraw-from-polymarket
    Topic: Non-custodial withdrawal process, step-by-step USDC to Coinbase to bank, MATIC for gas, timeframes, common mistakes

32. **Polymarket vs Betfair: Which Is Better for Prediction Trading?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-vs-betfair
    Topic: Full comparison -- market types, fees, KYC, US access, Betfair Premium Charge vs Polymarket 2% flat fee, liquidity, verdict

33. **Polymarket Liquidity Guide: How to Trade Thin Markets Profitably**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-liquidity-guide
    Topic: CLOB order book mechanics, slippage calculation, limit vs market orders, market making, identifying liquid markets, avoiding liquidity traps

34. **10 Polymarket Mistakes That Cost Beginners Money**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-beginner-mistakes
    Topic: 10 behavioral and strategic mistakes -- no edge, ignoring resolution rules, market orders, over-concentration, confirmation bias, no bankroll plan, going manual

35. **Polymarket vs Manifold Markets: Key Differences Explained**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-vs-manifold
    Topic: Real money (Polymarket/USDC) vs play money (Manifold/Mana), accuracy comparison, market quality, using Manifold as practice before trading real money

36. **How Does Polymarket Work? Complete Explainer**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/how-does-polymarket-work
    Topic: How Polymarket works end-to-end -- USDC on Polygon, CLOB order book, UMA oracle resolution, wallet setup, making trades, collecting winnings

37. **Is Polymarket Safe? Security, Risks and Protections Explained**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/is-polymarket-safe
    Topic: Non-custodial security model, smart contract risks, UMA oracle disputes, wallet safety best practices, what happens if Polymarket shuts down

38. **Polymarket Referral Code: Do Promo Codes Exist?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-referral-code
    Topic: Honest answer on Polymarket referral/promo codes, fee reduction strategies, PolyCopyTrade as cost-effective alternative

39. **Polymarket Alternatives: Top Prediction Market Competitors Compared**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-alternatives
    Topic: Kalshi, Betfair, Metaculus, Manifold, PredictIt comparison -- fees, access, market quality, use cases for each platform

40. **Polymarket Tax Guide: What Traders Need to Know**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-tax-guide
    Topic: US and UK tax treatment of prediction market profits, on-chain record-keeping, FIFO vs specific identification, self-employment vs capital gains classification

41. **Polymarket MetaMask Setup: Connect Your Wallet Step by Step**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-metamask-guide
    Topic: MetaMask installation, adding Polygon network, funding with USDC, connecting to Polymarket, mobile MetaMask, security best practices

42. **How Polymarket Payouts Work: Resolution, Fees and Timing**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/how-polymarket-payouts-work
    Topic: $1 per winning share payout mechanics, 2% fee on winnings, UMA oracle resolution process, dispute window, typical timing, early exit via selling

43. **Polymarket Minimum Deposit: How Much Do You Need to Start?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-minimum-deposit
    Topic: No official minimum deposit, practical starting amounts ($50-$100), gas fee considerations, starting small strategies, bankroll building

44. **How to Read Polymarket Charts and Volume Data**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-charts-guide
    Topic: Reading probability charts, volume spikes as signals, order book depth interpretation, identifying mispricing from chart patterns, data tools

45. **Polymarket Limit Orders: How to Use Them and Why They Matter**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-limit-orders
    Topic: Limit vs market orders, reducing slippage, setting price targets, GTC orders, partial fills, limit order strategies for thin markets

46. **Polymarket Portfolio Management: Track and Optimise Your Positions**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-portfolio-management
    Topic: Tracking open positions and P&L, correlation risk across markets, early exit decisions, position sizing review, spreadsheet and on-chain tracking tools

47. **Polymarket Expected Value: How to Calculate Your Edge**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-expected-value
    Topic: EV formula for prediction markets, edge identification, calibration, Kelly Criterion application, avoiding negative EV trades, tracking EV over time

48. **Polymarket Glossary: Key Terms Every Trader Should Know**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-glossary
    Topic: Definitions for CLOB, UMA oracle, implied probability, USDC, position sizing, liquidity, slippage, resolution criteria, and 30+ other prediction market terms

49. **Polymarket Market Making: Earn by Providing Liquidity**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-market-making
    Topic: How market makers post limit orders on both sides, earning bid-ask spread, risk management for market makers, capital requirements, automated market making

50. **Polymarket vs Metaculus: Which Is More Accurate?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-vs-metaculus
    Topic: Real-money (Polymarket) vs reputation-based (Metaculus) forecasting accuracy comparison, market types, community quality, using both platforms together

51. **How to Deposit on Polymarket: Every Method Explained**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/how-to-deposit-on-polymarket
    Topic: Step-by-step deposit methods — Coinbase direct Polygon withdrawal, Binance, Kraken via bridge, MetaMask MoonPay/Transak, common mistakes, confirmation times

52. **How Accurate Is Polymarket? Forecasting Track Record Analysed**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/is-polymarket-accurate
    Topic: Polymarket accuracy vs polls, pundits, Metaculus — election track record, Fed rate forecasts, sports markets, where it fails, academic research, trader implications

53. **Polymarket KYC and Verification: What Is Actually Required?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-kyc-verification
    Topic: No traditional KYC — wallet-connect only, geo-IP checks, US access history, CFTC settlement, VPN risks, on-chain public data, Kalshi comparison

54. **Best Markets to Trade on Polymarket: Where the Edge Is**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/best-polymarket-markets
    Topic: Market selection framework — Politics, Fed/Macro, Crypto, Sports, Geopolitics, AI/Tech categories ranked by liquidity, edge potential, and recommended strategy

55. **Can You Trade Polymarket Full Time? Realistic Income Breakdown**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-full-time-trading
    Topic: Capital requirements, realistic ROI ranges, income projection table, variance/runway, tax drag, time requirements, go-full-time criteria, copy trading passive alternative

56. **Polymarket Token and Airdrop: What We Know So Far**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-airdrop
    Topic: Polymarket's funding history ($74M VC), retroactive airdrop precedents (Uniswap, dYdX, Arbitrum), signals suggesting a future token, legitimate farming steps, scam warnings

57. **Polymarket Leverage: Does It Exist and How Does It Work?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-leverage
    Topic: No margin/leverage on Polymarket, implicit leverage via low-price markets (1/price formula), comparison to CFDs/futures, Kelly Criterion for sizing leveraged-equivalent positions

58. **Polymarket News Trading: How to Profit From Breaking Events**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-news-trading
    Topic: Scheduled vs unscheduled events, reaction speed by category (crypto/sports/macro/politics), pre-event positioning, first-mover window, fade-the-news strategy, real-time monitoring tools

59. **Polymarket Arbitrage: Finding and Exploiting Price Gaps**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-arbitrage
    Topic: Three arbitrage types (cross-platform, related-market, soft arb), worked example with fee breakdown, costs inventory, tools and capital requirements, daily scan workflow

60. **Polymarket Passive Income: 5 Ways to Earn Without Active Trading**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-passive-income
    Topic: Copy trading automation, market making, near-certainty liquidity provision, trading bots, liquidity mining -- comparison table of all 5 methods by effort, ROI, and difficulty

61. **Polymarket Trading Psychology: Master Your Mindset for Better Results**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-trading-psychology
    Topic: Tilt and revenge trading, loss aversion patterns, overconfidence after wins, pre-trade checklist, session limits, journaling, process vs outcome thinking, when to stop

62. **Polymarket Bankroll Building: How to Grow From $100 to $10,000**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-bankroll-building
    Topic: Four bankroll stages, compound growth table (5%/10%/20% monthly), reinvestment strategy, failure modes, fee efficiency, copy trading acceleration, bankroll rules

63. **Polymarket Historical Data: How to Access and Analyse Past Markets**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-historical-data
    Topic: REST API price history, The Graph subgraph, Dune Analytics SQL queries, Polygon direct data, community datasets, backtesting walkthrough, data quality issues

64. **Polymarket Community: Discord, Twitter, and Where Traders Connect**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-community
    Topic: Polymarket Discord, Twitter/X accounts to follow, Reddit prediction markets communities, Telegram groups (with scam warnings), using community insights for trading decisions

65. **Polymarket Position Sizing: How Much to Bet on Each Market**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-position-sizing
    Topic: Flat vs proportional sizing, Kelly Criterion, fractional Kelly (quarter/half), max position caps, correlation-adjusted sizing, dynamic sizing across drawdown and gains phases

66. **How Polymarket Market Resolution Works: The Complete Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-market-resolution
    Topic: UMA oracle settlement process, resolution criteria and market rules, USDC payout mechanics, disputed resolutions and escalation, early resolution cases, resolution timeline

67. **Polymarket Limit Orders: How to Use Them to Get Better Prices**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-limit-orders
    Topic: Market vs limit orders, CLOB mechanics, placing limit orders step by step, GTC vs IOC orders, limit orders for market making, common mistakes

68. **Polymarket vs Manifold Markets: Which Prediction Platform Wins?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-vs-manifold
    Topic: Real money vs play money (Mana), market depth and liquidity, fees comparison, market creation differences, accuracy/calibration, who should use which platform

69. **Polymarket UMA Oracle: How Market Settlement Actually Works**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-uma-oracle
    Topic: UMA protocol overview, optimistic oracle mechanism, dispute process and DVM token vote, UMA governance, past controversies, how to challenge a resolution, oracle risk

70. **Polymarket 2026 Election Markets: Best Opportunities Right Now**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-2026-election-markets
    Topic: 2026 US midterms on Polymarket, key Senate/House/Governor races, historical accuracy, trading strategies, timing around debates and polls, political market risk management

71. **Polymarket Gas Fees Explained: How Much Do Transactions Cost?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-gas-fees
    Topic: Polygon gas fees, MATIC for gas, current fee ranges ($0.001-$0.01), free MATIC faucet, which actions cost gas, Polygon vs Ethereum comparison, minimising gas costs

72. **Can You Create Markets on Polymarket? A Step-by-Step Guide**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/can-you-create-markets-on-polymarket
    Topic: Eligibility requirements, market creation request process, resolution criteria writing, approved vs rejected examples, liquidity requirements, approval timeline and tips

73. **Polymarket Order Book Explained: How the CLOB System Works**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-order-book
    Topic: CLOB vs AMMs, reading bids/asks/depth, bid-ask spread, large order price impact, order book sentiment signals, thin market strategies, tools for viewing order book data

74. **Polymarket Profit Calculator: How to Estimate Returns Before You Trade**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-profit-calculator
    Topic: Binary payout mechanics, profit formula (stake/price - stake), 2% fee calculation, ROI%, worked examples across 5 price points, EV calculation, break-even price formula

75. **Polymarket Copy Trading vs Manual Trading: Which Strategy Wins?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-copy-trading-vs-manual
    Topic: Time commitment comparison, performance data, skill ceiling problem, when manual beats copy trading, when copy trading wins, hybrid approach, how PolyCopyTrade works

76. **Polymarket Glossary: Key Terms Every Trader Must Know**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-glossary
    Topic: Platform and market terms (CLOB, order book, bid, ask, spread), probability and pricing terms, trading terms, settlement and resolution terms, risk and strategy terms, blockchain terms

77. **Polymarket vs PredictIt: Which Prediction Market Is Better?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-vs-predictit
    Topic: Real money platforms compared, fee differences (2% vs 10%+5%), $850 position cap on PredictIt, market selection, liquidity, US access, political market quality

78. **Who Are the Best Polymarket Traders? How to Find Top Performers**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/best-polymarket-traders
    Topic: What defines the best traders (ROI vs volume vs consistency), leaderboard and on-chain tracking, evaluation metrics, leaderboard gaming, how copy trading solves research problem

79. **Polymarket Mobile Trading: Full Guide for iPhone and Android**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-mobile-trading
    Topic: PWA installation on iOS and Android, MetaMask Mobile setup, iOS vs Android experience comparison, mobile trading tips, copy trading as mobile-friendly alternative

80. **Can You Earn Interest on Idle USDC on Polymarket?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-usdc-yield
    Topic: No native yield on Polymarket, hidden cost of idle capital, USDC yield options (Aave, Compound, Circle, Coinbase), gas vs yield tradeoff, near-certainty pseudo-yield

81. **How to Win on Polymarket: 12 Proven Tactics**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-how-to-win
    Topic: 12 actionable tactics for winning on Polymarket -- EV framework, market selection, position sizing, bias avoidance, news trading, copy trading, performance tracking

82. **15 Polymarket Trading Tips for Consistent Profits**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-trading-tips
    Topic: 15 advanced trading tips covering research, probability, bankroll management, cognitive biases, copy trading, and portfolio review cycles

83. **Polymarket Copy Trading Review 2026: Does It Actually Work?**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-copy-trading-review
    Topic: Review of copy trading on Polymarket, how PolyCopyTrade mirrors top traders, performance data, selection criteria, risks, and getting started guide

84. **How to Research a Polymarket Market Before You Trade**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-research-guide
    Topic: 5-step due diligence process before entering any Polymarket trade -- resolution criteria, base rates, order book analysis, source verification, EV calculation

85. **Polymarket 2026: Complete Platform Guide and Outlook**
    URL: https://www.newspoly.net/blog/polymarket-2026-guide
    Topic: Comprehensive 2026 overview of Polymarket -- growth stats, platform changes, top markets to watch, fees, competitors comparison, airdrop speculation, getting started

## Authors

NewsPoly publishes content written by a team of specialist contributors:

- **Alex Morgan** -- Prediction market analyst, 6+ years on decentralised trading platforms. Specialises in copy trading strategies and market efficiency.
- **Sarah Chen** -- Crypto and DeFi researcher. Former quantitative analyst covering Polymarket, Kalshi, and on-chain data.
- **James Wright** -- Quantitative trader and former market maker. Focuses on Polymarket liquidity dynamics and statistical edge identification.
- **Emma Liu** -- Political markets specialist and former policy analyst. Covers election prediction markets and geopolitical event trading.
- **Marcus Reid** -- Behavioural economist. Studies cognitive bias, crowd wisdom, and systematic mispricings in prediction markets.
- **Priya Sharma** -- On-chain data analyst. Tracks whale wallet behaviour, liquidity flows, and protocol-level signals on Polymarket.
- **Oliver Bennett** -- Sports and prediction markets writer. Former professional sports bettor covering expected value and line shopping.
- **Nadia Kowalski** -- Risk management specialist and former derivatives trader. Writes on bankroll management and Kelly Criterion sizing.
- **Daniel Torres** -- Macro economist and market strategist covering global events and central bank decisions as they flow into prediction prices.
- **Yuki Nakamura** -- DeFi and Web3 researcher with deep expertise in Ethereum, Layer 2 protocols, and decentralised governance.

## Key Topics Covered

- Polymarket platform mechanics (CLOB, USDC, Polygon blockchain, UMA oracle)
- Prediction market theory (implied probability, expected value, market efficiency)
- Copy trading and automation (PolyCopyTrade, on-chain wallet tracking)
- Decentralised finance (DeFi, USDC, MetaMask, smart contracts)
- Regulatory landscape (CFTC, Kalshi, US market access, legal classification, state-by-state legality)
- Political markets (election forecasting, geopolitical events)
- Macro markets (Fed rate decisions, CPI/GDP releases, geopolitical events, CME FedWatch)
- DeFi and protocol markets (Ethereum upgrades, Layer 2 TVL milestones, DAO governance votes)
- Quantitative strategies (Kelly Criterion, mispricing identification, base-rate research)
- Risk management (bankroll rules, position sizing, correlation risk)

## Technical Details

- Platform: Flat-file PHP CMS (no database)
- Blockchain: Polygon (MATIC) for all Polymarket transactions
- Settlement oracle: UMA Protocol
- Trading collateral: USDC stablecoin
- Sitemap: https://www.newspoly.net/sitemap.xml

## Contact

- Email: contact@newspoly.net
- Twitter: @newspoly